Where does falling UK unemployment but also falling real wages leave forward guidance?

The labour market report in the UK has been one of the most important datapoints about the state of play in the economy throughout the credit crunch. Fortunately the level of unemployment has remained relatively low considering both the length … Read More

Posted in Bank of England, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , , , | 14 Comments

Whatever happened to manufacturing and industrial production in France?

Today opens with news of a strike against pension reform in France. However this “reform” only currently applies to the private-sector as we note that the larger potential deficit in public-sector pensions is being ignored. How very Euro area! It remains … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation | Tagged , , , | 12 Comments

What is happening to Cyprus and its economy?

One of the features of both the Euro area crisis and indeed the credit crunch itself is the way that we are awash with news about certain events for a brief period and then the tap gets turned off. In … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, GDP, General Economics, Greek Financial Crisis, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures | Tagged , , , | 13 Comments

Of bond yield rises, central bank losses and the economic implications thereof

Yesterday was a day where a market trend that has existed for much of 2013 came to wider attention than just in the financial markets themselves. This was partly due to the natural human tendency to see a move as … Read More

Posted in Bank of England, Debt, General Economics, Inflation, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , | 29 Comments

Italy and its economy looks like it is being left behind yet again

Yesterday I looked at the improvement in the UK economy and the changes that I feel that the Bank of England should make in its policy. Today I wish to look at a country which is  showing many fewer signs of … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, GDP, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Recession | Tagged , , , | 9 Comments

How expansionary should monetary policy be in “boom-time” Britain?

Back on the 1st of July, I welcomed Mark Carney to the role of Governor of the Bank of England by wondering if he would be a “lucky” Governor for the reason stated below. the economy is enjoying a spring/summer … Read More

Posted in GDP, General Economics, Gilts, Mark Carney, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 30 Comments

Since the start of 2011 the gap in economic growth between Germany and Greece has been 20%

This week has shown us the state of play in Greece and indeed in its national finances. As time passes we see more and more of the consequences of the type of internal devaluation austerity that has been forced on … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, GDP, General Economics, Greek Financial Crisis, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures | Tagged , , , | 16 Comments

Portugal has left its recession but is still in an economic depression

Today I wish to discuss the economic situation in Portugal which I have not covered since the 28th of June. There is a reason for the gap which is that the Gross Domestic Product numbers for the second quarter were … Read More

Posted in Demographics, Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Manufacturing, Recession, Uncategorized | Tagged , , | 12 Comments

Of house price bubbles in London and house price collapses in Northern Ireland

It was only yesterday that I discussed the speech given by Mark Carney in Nottingham where I and the comments section referred to his opinion on the UK housing market. As today has brought us new information on this area … Read More

Posted in Bank of England, General Economics, House Prices, Inflation, Mark Carney, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , | 18 Comments

What now for UK monetary policy and the “forward guidance” of Mark Carney?

Yesterday we received the first keynote speech from the new Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. It was eagerly awaited because the first weeks of his tenure have exhibited something of a bi-polar character. Whilst the economy has turned for … Read More

Posted in Bank of England, Bank savings rates, General Economics, Gilts, House Prices, Mark Carney, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 9 Comments
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