Spain should be singing “Help” or perhaps “With a little help from my friends!”

Today sees the Spring Meetings for both the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. One of the lessons of these times is that there has been an extraordinary inflation in the number of meetings between world leaders. Sadly there … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, IMF, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Yield | 21 Comments

The Bank of England can “not rule out” that the UK will have “GDP falling for three successive quarters”

Yesterday saw the publication of the minutes from the latest meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England. This body sets UK interest-rates and monetary policy. Tucked away in these minutes was something of a bombshell and I … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, General Economics, Inflation, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | 25 Comments

Both Spain and Portugal will be dragged down by their weakening banking sectors unless they change policy

One of the themes of this blog has been the way that politicians indulge in hyperbole and bombast to cover up and in many cases to dent economic reality. Today we see both an example of this and an attempt … Read More

Posted in Banks, Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, House Prices, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | 11 Comments

Japan lends “free money” to the IMF whilst the UK’s inflation rise embarasses the Bank of England

Sometimes the news we receive is hard to believe and at other times it goes further and becomes like an episode from the science-fiction series the Outer Limits. Today it is the latter which has come to the forefront as … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, IMF, Japan's Economic Situation, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | 17 Comments

Spain faces a simple choice between devaluation and economic depression

We open this week with the realisation that the recent lull in the crisis in the Euro is now over. Last week saw rising government bond yields in Italy and particularly Spain which has continued this morning. However let us … Read More

Posted in Banks, Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Recession | 27 Comments

China has economic growth of 7.4% using the American annualised system (compounded) and should ease more

The last 24 hours have given us updates on what are the two key economic signals for the world at this time. Firstly we found out a little more about US unemployment and then we received an update on Chinese economic … Read More

Posted in China, Commodities, GDP, General Economics, Growth, Inflation, Interest rates, The US Economy | 13 Comments

Greece should leave the Euro and devalue to grasp fully the hope offered by exports outside of Europe

Yesterday the Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos made a welcome move as he announced that elections will be held on May 6th. As a supporter of democracy I think that this is long overdue and that elections would have been … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Greek Financial Crisis, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures | 13 Comments

As Spain pays nearly 6% on her benchmark bonds and the UK pays 2%,is Euro membership worth that?

The last week or so has since something of a gathering storm for Spain as two effects have coincided. Firstly the efforts of the European Central Bank to indirectly help her (some would argue directly…) have begun to wear off. … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Gilts, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, Yield | 24 Comments

Replacing the shadow banking system with central bank liquidity is not working well

Welcome to a new business week in the UK as we and most of Europe return after the Easter break. Even the break itself provides some food for thought as for example the increasingly secular UK takes an extra two … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, The US Economy | 14 Comments

Both the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank will be considering intervention today

Welcome to Maundy Thursday which is the forerunner of Easter so let me wish all readers a Happy Easter too. In the UK today has a celebration in which the monarch presents Maundy money to deserving recipients which these days … Read More

Posted in Euro zone Crisis, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | 13 Comments