Category Archives: UK Inflation Prospects and Issues

Has George Osborne destroyed any remaining vestige of Bank of England independence?

Yesterday saw something of a sharp about turn for the exchange rate of the UK pound sterling particularly against the US Dollar. After continuing its recent bounce-back to US$ 1.516 it then about turned and dropped over a cent and a … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , , | 24 Comments

On every measure the Bank of England not only has failed but is failing

This week is a crucial one for the UK economy as the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets on Wednesday before announcing the results of its deliberations on Thursday. If we add some recent poor economic data to an MPC of which 3 members … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, General Economics, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 25 Comments

Why negative interest rates would make the UK economy worse rather than better

Yesterday even the mainstream media woke up when something I have been discussing on here for nearly two years flashed up on their radar. The specific occurance was when Deputy Governor of the Bank of England Paul Tucker mentioned negative … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, Banks, GDP, General Economics, Inflation, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , , | 22 Comments

What does losing the vaunted AAA rating mean for the UK?

Today is the first business day which the UK faces without its AAA credit rating is the spin being imparted widely in the media. In fact LBC radio has just on the 9 o’clock news gone to a reporter who … Read More

Posted in Equities, General Economics, Gilts, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Today’s UK Public Finance bulletin is 51 pages of spin, obfuscation and misrepresentation

As we move further into 2013 we will see if the UK will find that its experience will mimic that of the peripheral Euro area countries who have found it virtually impossible to continue to cut their fiscal deficits in … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Recession, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Why if the UK employment situation is so good is the Bank of England panicking?

One of the conundrums in UK economic life has been the apparent divergence between UK economic growth and the UK labour market. The former has had a little growth and then flat-lined whereas the latter has signalled hopes of a … Read More

Posted in Banks, GDP, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Is the Bank of England’s support for the housing market firing blanks?

Back on January 3rd I discussed the UK housing market and the fact that the Bank of England was stating that conditions were ripe for an improvement. From its survey of credit conditions and the emphasis is mine. The availability … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, Banks, General Economics, House Prices, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 27 Comments

How rising bond yields are affecting us and why we should fear further rises

There are many factors which determine what happens in a government bond market and today I intend to explain what is going on and why this matters to individuals. As 2012 has moved into 2013 we have seen some changes … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues, Yield | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Will UK inflation ever return to its official target? Or do they not intend it to?

Today is the day that the UK updates on its inflation numbers. This has been a troubling series to say the least as inflation has exceeded its 2% official target on the Consumer Price Index for 38 months in a … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Income, Inflation, Interest rates, Oil, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 24 Comments

UK recession-forecasting indicator suggests favourable economic outlook

The UK recession probability indicator followed here continues to signal a stronger economy in 2013. The estimated probability of another activity dip has fallen significantly over the last 12 months and currently stands at below 1% – the lowest since … Read More

Posted in UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Leave a comment
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