Category Archives: UK Inflation Prospects and Issues

What does losing the vaunted AAA rating mean for the UK?

Today is the first business day which the UK faces without its AAA credit rating is the spin being imparted widely in the media. In fact LBC radio has just on the 9 o’clock news gone to a reporter who … Read More

Posted in Equities, General Economics, Gilts, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Today’s UK Public Finance bulletin is 51 pages of spin, obfuscation and misrepresentation

As we move further into 2013 we will see if the UK will find that its experience will mimic that of the peripheral Euro area countries who have found it virtually impossible to continue to cut their fiscal deficits in … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Recession, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Why if the UK employment situation is so good is the Bank of England panicking?

One of the conundrums in UK economic life has been the apparent divergence between UK economic growth and the UK labour market. The former has had a little growth and then flat-lined whereas the latter has signalled hopes of a … Read More

Posted in Banks, GDP, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Is the Bank of England’s support for the housing market firing blanks?

Back on January 3rd I discussed the UK housing market and the fact that the Bank of England was stating that conditions were ripe for an improvement. From its survey of credit conditions and the emphasis is mine. The availability … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, Banks, General Economics, House Prices, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 27 Comments

How rising bond yields are affecting us and why we should fear further rises

There are many factors which determine what happens in a government bond market and today I intend to explain what is going on and why this matters to individuals. As 2012 has moved into 2013 we have seen some changes … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Inflation, Interest rates, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues, Yield | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Will UK inflation ever return to its official target? Or do they not intend it to?

Today is the day that the UK updates on its inflation numbers. This has been a troubling series to say the least as inflation has exceeded its 2% official target on the Consumer Price Index for 38 months in a … Read More

Posted in General Economics, Income, Inflation, Interest rates, Oil, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 24 Comments

UK recession-forecasting indicator suggests favourable economic outlook

The UK recession probability indicator followed here continues to signal a stronger economy in 2013. The estimated probability of another activity dip has fallen significantly over the last 12 months and currently stands at below 1% – the lowest since … Read More

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What is happening in the UK economy? Perhaps a glimmer of light in the darkness

The last 48 hours has seen evidence of some panic in the UK economics establishment. It was only on Wednesday that I discussed Lord Adair Turner’s views on money printing,which are in essence yes please. Since then Martin Wolf of … Read More

Posted in GDP, General Economics, Growth, Inflation, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , | 28 Comments

Should the UK print money as Lord Turner wants us too?

Today Lord Turner will give a speech on monetary policy and it is considered important enough for the Financial Times economics editor Chris Giles to interview him on the subject. If we move towards the end of the discussion we … Read More

Posted in GDP, General Economics, Growth, Inflation, Monetary Trends, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Stagflation, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 26 Comments

What is wrong with the world’s banks and their regulators?

The last year has seen an enormous amount of turmoil in the world banking industry as scandal has followed scandal. It is as if they have been a completely lawless sector which has done pretty much as it wanted. This … Read More

Posted in Banking Reform, Banks, Euro zone Crisis, GDP, General Economics, Quantitative Easing and Extraordinary Monetary Measures, Scams, The US Economy, UK Inflation Prospects and Issues | Tagged , , , , | 32 Comments
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